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How Cognitive Biases Affect Our Everyday Decisions

How
Cognitive Biases
Affect Our
Banner with the text: Everyday Decisions

We make up to
35,000
decisions every day.

Our environment, experiences and emotions can profoundly influence our decision-making.

Browse the illustrations below to learn about common cognitive biases to watch out for in your everyday life.

Bandwagon Effect

Believing or doing something because people around you believe or do it

Store selling premium staplers with everyone buying one with the text: Bandwagon Effect - 'Priced at just $299, the deluxe professional stapler is now our bestselling model'

Indications of popularity such as reviews can make an item appear significantly more desirable. Try to avoid relying too heavily on the opinions of others, and instead weigh up all of the information available.

Availability Heuristic

Overestimating the importance of information that is easiest to recall

A beach with a group of people swimming and two people on the sand. One of the people not in the water has a newspaper with the headline 'Second shark death in five years' and them saying 'They must have a deathwish to swim in that water'

It is natural to rely on easily remembered knowledge, but it is also worth thinking twice. The chances of dying from smoking, drinking or obesity are far greater than encountering a killer shark, yet the perceived threat of the latter is greater. If in doubt, supplement intuition with statistics.

Dunning-Kruger Effect

Unskilled individuals overestimating their
 abilities and experts underestimating theirs

Coast guard saying 'What were you think?' while pulling a person out of the sea wearing a 200m champion sash saying 'It just seemed like the next logical step' with a buoy that says France is 19 miles away

Avoid basing decisions on self-assessment of skill - those with limited ability may be unable to accurately assess their own competence. Equally, if you know you have a high level of competence in a specific area, then try to avoid over-thinking things.

Framing Effect

Drawing different conclusions from the
 same information presented differently

A rally of people with two different stages, they are all gathered around the stage with a business representative on stage saying 'Thanks to our aggressive stance on climate change, this government has reduced carbon emissions by almost 5%!' and the other stage is a environmentalist with a banner that says 'Carbon emissions reduced by 4.6% in last 5 years.

In politics and the wider media, jargon constantly changes to influence public opinion. The next time you’re considering your stance on a certain issue, listen closely to the information presented and try to uncover its real meaning.

Confirmation Bias

Seeking and prioritising information
 that confirms your existing beliefs

Someone in a library reading a book on the flat earth, ignoring all the other books about the earth being a globe saying 'Aha! I knew it!'

Seeking out evidence to support our preconceptions may help us feel more secure, but doesn’t always lead to better decisions. Always consider a broad range of opinions - they may all have their own pros and cons.

Curse of Knowledge

Struggling to see a problem from the perspective of someone with less knowledge than you

Lecture hall full of children with a professor trying to teach 'An introduction into Goncharov polyogarithms' and the caption 'Well I don't know how your lectures went, but I can't seem to get through to these people!'

Everyone has something in life that they excel at – and sometimes it can be hard to think back to a time when this wasn’t the case. If in doubt, avoid making assumptions and start with the basics to gauge the audience’s existing knowledge. Provide context by including appropriate examples.

Reactance

The desire to do the opposite of what is requested or
 advised, due to a perceived threat to freedom of choice

Boardroom with a bunch of distressed looking people, the presentation shows that sales have been going down and the main leader is saying 'Whilst the report we commissioned made some excellent suggestions, do we really want some consultant telling us what to do?'

When offered information that conflicts with your original understanding, it can be hard to admit you were wrong or ill-informed. Ask if you are objecting to advice simply because it is interfering with your ego.

The Sunk Cost Fallacy

Refusing to abandon something unrewarding because you’ve already invested in it

Cinema with a bunch of people that look disinterested with a couple in the middle, one of them says 'Let's get out of here, this is the worst movie I've ever seen!' and the other one is missing an arm and a leg and replies 'I think I'd rather stick it out - these tickets cost me an arm and a leg.'

In decisions that involve uncertainty, we have an evolutionary tendency to focus on the potential losses. This often results in us ‘throwing good money after bad’, even when there is little chance of success. Remember to separate your emotional investment from the decision you’re making, and know when to cut your losses.

Hindsight Bias

Believing that you could have predicted an event after it has occurred

A crashed object in the back with a man wrapped in bandages being put into an ambulance with two people talking in front of them saying 'Although we gave him all of that money and support, I always had my doubts that Jim could build a helicopter'

When something happens, it often seems so obvious that we should have seen it coming, and we may even misremember an earlier prediction to conform with this belief. Counteract it by asking how likely the event really was to occur.

Anchoring Effect

Excessively focussing on the first piece of
 information you receive when making a decision

A person showing off their new purchase of a taxidermy fox that looks cheap saying 'Breath-taking isn't it? The seller wanted 5000 but I got it for just 4500!

When negotiating the price of an item we are often swayed when we feel we’re getting a bargain. Make sure to consider if the price is actually reasonable for
 that item or if you have perceived the value based against the original price.

It's easy to fall into the pitfalls of cognitive biases - we all do it. Being conscious of your motivations makes these traps easier to spot and avoid. Next time you’re unsure, think carefully about the evidence and be ready to challenge your own reasoning.